Turtle sticking his head out of that life preserver is simply the area inside the life preserver divided by the total area of all oceans, or about 1 in 700 trillion. A fertile woman has 100,000 viable eggs on average. You can start the series by clicking HERE. Still, the racial wealth gap continues: Only 11 of them are black. We're about to deal with eggs and sperm, which come in large numbers. The Art of Female Orgasm: Tue 21 June teleseminar with Nicole Daedone, Dating App-ocalypse: 10 Reasons to Delete Your Dating Apps Right Now, How can I best serve you? A man will produce about 12 trillion sperm over the course of his reproductive lifetime. Marcus Aurelius offers wisdom on how to use this fact. dr ali binazir odds of being born - thlf.us Same to all of us. So I got curious: Are either of these estimates correct? As you aptly point out, many persons losts lots of money at the roulette because they quests mathematically accurate. The odds of red or black are 50:50 with each spin of the wheel. What would we come up with ourselves starting with first principles, making some reasonable assumptions and putting them all together? It is the probability of 2 million people getting together each to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. As Borel pointed out such an event was so improbable as to be impossible. dr ali binazir odds of being born This alone should boost any lingering low self-esteem quite a bit. Think of how strong our ancestors had to be to allow us to eat a sandwich or sing Happy Birthday. Further, they would not have existed if their parents had not existed and met, and so on. Step 1. To get the final answer, technically we need to multiply that by the 1045,000 , 2000 and 20,000 up there, but those numbers are so shrimpy in comparison that it almost doesnt matter. Let's say a third of those (4 trillion) are relevant to our calculation, since the sperm created after your mom hits menopause don't count. Lets not get carried away here; well just deal with the human lineage. You are also agreeing to our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy. Thats a pretty straightforward calculation. dr ali binazir odds of being born - sindicaturarosarito.gob.mx What would we come up with ourselves starting with first principles, making some reasonable assumptions and putting them all together? That is, instead of making one big hand-waving gesture and pronouncing, "The answer is 500 squintillion," we make a series of sequentially-reasoned, smaller hand-waving gestures so as to make it all seem scientific. You are the result of the fusion of one particular egg with one particular sperm. Those who say Charles Darwins concept of evolution is hogwash gleefully seize on Borels Law to support their arguments. Are You a Miracle? Hello there! One in 400 trillion vs one in 700 trillion? The Nobel Prize winning poet Wislawa Szymborska once wrote about two lovers who liked to think they'd met entirely by chance, but no, she says, there was nothing chancy about it. And to get even more woo-woo, I believe we each have a team of ancestors, Spirit Guides and Angels looking after us who love us so much. You Shouldn't Be Alive. The Odds of You Existing Are Basically | by To illustrate how precious each human being is, self-help author Mel Robbins said during a 2011 Ted Talk that the likelihood of you being born as you has been calculated at about one in 400 trillion. Thats 150,000 generations. Which ones bigger? dr ali binazir odds of being born 2022-06-25T04:47:45+00:00 And the chances of that lasting long enough to result in offspring is one in 2. So the probability of your parents chance meeting resulting in kids is about 1 in 2000. Previously, I had heard the Buddhist version of the probability of this precious incarnation. saving. And the chances of that lasting long enough to result in offspring is one in two. One number that is tossed about a lot is that the odds against your being born are one in 400 trillion. Love and the empowered woman: Dr. Ali Binazir at TEDxFiDiWomen (+ My podcast interview on raising your spirits), Staying Sane in Trying Times Seminars, Apr 22-25, WED FEB 19: The 5 Magic Questions What 5000 Womens Letters Reveal About Love & Dating, How often should you call him? Want to Read. Dr. Binazir calculated that the odds against each of us being born produced a number that makes the brain hurt. The probability that you came about and exist today is the same as that turtle sticking its head out of the waterin the middle of that life preserver. Probability of same boy knocking up same girl: 1 in 2000. dr ali binazir odds of being born jeffrey dahmer museum milwaukee -- from "Love at First Sight", Wislawa Szymborska, The End and The Beginning, 1993. That's 150,000 generations. This is also true of your grandparents parents, and their parents, and so on back to the beginning of human time. The right sperm also had to meet the right egg to create your grandparents; otherwise theyd be different people and so would their children, who would then have had children who were similar to you but not quite you. And whats even more profound is that 10^2,685,00 is not even remotely comparable with eternity. Consider some of the contingencies and requirements for your existence as set forth by Mr. Binazir. If the first shot fall into the black hole, it remains only the red, and not green or blue. The odds of you being born as you are about 1 in 400 trillion, or more. Now things start getting interesting. Let's confine the pool of possible people they could meet to 1/10th of the world's population 20 years go (1/10th of 4 billion = 400 million) so it considers not just the population of the US but that of the places they could have visited. That means in every step of your lineage, the probability of the right sperm meeting the right egg such that the exact right ancestor would be created that would end up creating you is one in 400 quadrillion. dr ali binazir odds of being born - simssuccessgroup.com Gather your loved ones around and give props to your incredibly resilient and badass survivor ancestors, while you explode your gender revel confetti poppers. Are you a miracle? On the probability of being born | Dr. Ali Binazir Now go forth and feel and act like the miracle that you are., Buddhists have talked of the preciousness of this incarnation. Ensure you visit this website and get the right details and names that fits your babies. Lets say a third of those (4 trillion) are relevant to our calculation, since the sperm created after your mom hits menopause dont count. dr ali binazir odds of being born - mashroubs.com 1/(100,000)(4 trillion)= 1/(105)(41012)= 1 in 4 x 1017, or one in 400 quadrillion. msk zilina slovan bratislava; battle of the brothers winner The number of atoms making up the earth is about 1050. They each roll the dice -- and they all come up the exact same number -- say, 550,343,279,001. 3.97 avg rating 549 ratings published 2010 5 editions. Moreover, the second shot would not necessary run into the red. It turns out that when taking into account the astonishing number of possibilities of parents meeting, grandparents meeting before them, and so on going back generations, and then adding the vast number of sperm and ova in possible combinations over decades of the marital act in all those generations, the odds of me existing just as I do are about 1 in 102,685,000. Part of HuffPost Wellness. So now we must account for that for 150,000 generations by raising 400 quadrillion to the 150,000th power: Thats a ten followed by 2,640,000 zeroes, which would fill 11 volumes of a book the size of mine with zeroes. decision by design review farnam street; dr ali binazir odds of being born; post mortem fingerprint equipment. Thank you, Monsignor. But even if you dont believe in that, the science is enough. The chances of that turning into another meeting is about 1 in 10. Fortunes were lost as players bet huge amounts on red in the erroneous belief that the law of probabilities dictated the ball would not drop on black again. He looked at the odds of your parents meeting, given how many men and women there are on Earth and how many people of the opposite sex your mother and father would have met in their first 25 years of life. The Arena Media Brands, LLC and respective content providers to this website may receive compensation for some links to products and services on this website. When expanded it provides a list of search options that will switch the search inputs to match the current selection. First, let us figure out the probability of one turtle sticking its head out of the one life preserver we toss out somewhere in the ocean. Each sperm and each egg is genetically unique because of the process of meiosis. Or are we glorious accidents, each and every one? By continuing to use our site, you accept our use of cookies, revised Privacy Policy and Terms of Use. In other words, when seen in the aggregate, that probability is simply stating that it is very hard to predict _who_ will exist and not that someone will. For the sake of completeness: (102,640,000)(1045,000)(2000)(20,000) = 4x 102,685,007 102,685,000, Probability of your existing at all: 1 in 102,685,000. The scientists and Buddhists seem to agree. Namely, that every one of your ancestors lived to reproductive age going all the way back not just to the first Homo sapiens, first Homo erectus and Homo habilis, but all the way back to the first single-celled organism. But, the odds of every bridge deal are exactly the same. To be more specific, its probably 1 in 102,640,000. To say that we are contingent beings is a vast understatement. Dr. Binazir is an author and personal change specialist who studied at. It has over 40,000 names organized into different categories, including Unisex, Boys Names, and Girls Names. But, despite your being an extremely wonderful person, such a statement is wildly inaccurate. Multply the volume of New Jerusalem by 77. So the probability of your parents' chance meeting resulting in kids is about 1 in 2000. Its almost too big to process, just know that the odds that you exist at all are basically zero. Lets say a life preservers hole is about 80cm in diameter, which would make the area inside, which we will conveniently round to 0.5 square meters. So he gave us an analogy that helps: Its the probability of 2.5 million people getting togetherabout the population of San Diegoeach to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. He was a funny guy. Ty Webb, Caddyshack, which is wanting more power, but giving up any power we already have. Dr. Ali Binazir, Happiness Engineer | Modern Science and Ancient Wisdom Remember the sperm-meeting-egg argument for the creation of you, since each gamete is unique? The learned professor was actually pulling everyones legs, but Littlewoods Law has been conscripted as proof of a number of strange theories. Learn more here: Dr. Ali Binazir's Article on Probability of Being Born Even with the lowest statistic of 1 in 400 trillion, you would have a better chance of winning over $100 million. That should always be a great sense of wonder and a real source of gratitude. So lets say the probability of your parents meeting, ever, is 10,000 divided by 200 million: Probability of boy meeting girl: 1 in 20,000. Scripture says. Think about yourself.You are here becauseYour dad met your mom.Then your dad and mom conceived you.So a particular egg in your momJoined a particular sperm from your dadWhich could only happen because not one of your direct ancestors, going all the way back to the beginning of life itself, died before passing on his or her genesSo what are the chances of you happening?Of you being here? Author, Happiness Engineer & Personal Growth consultant creating tools for greater wellness & flourishing. Step 3. It would be your cousin Jethro, and you never really liked him anyway. But, once we are born, we have an incredible opportunity to create our future . Then, I hope and believe, that He has written my name on the palm of His hand, so whenever He looks at His hand, He thinks of me. A little while ago I had the privilege of attending TEDx San Francisco, organized by the incomparable Christine Mason McCaull.. One of the talks was by Mel Robbins, a riotously funny self-help author and life coach with a syndicated radio show. Heres Dr. Ali Binazir on the probability of a human being born: Its the probability of 2.5 million people getting together about the population of San Diego each to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. Or stalk me (with love.). Say that over the course of all human existence, the likelihood of any one human offspring to survive childhood and live to reproductive age and have at least one kid is 50:50 -- one in two. And the chances of that turning into another meeting is about one in 10 also. They agree to within a factor of two! dr ali binazir odds of being born - c-vineretirement.com Previously, I had heard the Buddhist version of the probability of "this precious incarnation." They each roll the diceand they all come up the exact same numbersay, 550,343,279,001. This is a vastly greater improbability than one in 1050. A man will produce about 12 trillion sperm over the course of his reproductive lifetime. The answer, if my math is right, (assuming a mass of the moon of 7.34 x 10^22 kg), is about 7.34 x 10^34 years. He says its similar to the probability of a turtle sticking its head out of the one life preserver we toss out somewhere random in the oceans on Earth. They each roll the dice -- and they all come up the exact same number -- say, 550,343,279,001. This is also true of their parents, and so on till the beginning of time. By that definition, I've just proven that you are a miracle. He concluded that the chances of a turtle sticking its head out in the middle of the life preserver was about one in 700 trillion. Youre not just one in a million, youre one in a 102,685,000. Yet here we are. Probability of same boy knocking up same girl: 1 in 2000. The fact is, you have a monumentally better chance of becoming anybody you want to be than of even being at all. It is approximately 1 in 102,685,000 according to Dr. Ali Binazir, in a publication distributed by Huffington Post. The following analysis, paraphrased at some points, is taken directly from Mr. Binazir's article: The probability of father meeting mother is 1 in 20,000. I would not exist if my parents had not existed and then met. Dr. Ali Binazir | TheCarolinaCowboy I have one baby so far, but Im still fertile, according to science. Probability of same boy knocking up same girl: one in 2000. Sean said that we have already won the cosmic lottery simply by being born because the odds of that happening alone is one in a gazillion times. Worldwide, there are 2,043 billionaires among 7.4 billion people. No one else has had a soul like mine, no one will have a soul like it. Thats just the observable Universe; we havent the faintest idea what is beyond what we can detect with our instruments. It turns out that when taking into account the astonishing number of possibilities of parents meeting, grandparents meeting before them, and so on going back generations, and then adding the vast number of sperm and ova in possible combinations over decades of the marital act in all those generations, the odds of me existing just as I do are about 1 in 10. The Zen philosopher, Basho, once wrote, A flute with no holes, is not a flute. Its maddening to see people worry so much. If you need to flag this entry as abusive. Now imagine that each time the fly comes back from the moon it brings with it a speck of moon dust the size of a grain of sand (lets say 1 mg). dr ali binazir odds of being born. You can consider using our babies name resource to choose baby at 12 weeks old that suits your needs! Our own galaxy, the Milky Way, has as many as 400 billion stars in it and at least 100 billion planets. Some of the numbers are approximations, but generally they are on the conservative side. If there is only one outcome then the probability is 1/1=1. It would be your cousin Jethro, and you never really liked him anyway. In other words, as this infographic figures it, you are totally improbable. As a comparison, the number of atoms in the body of an average male (80kg, 175 lb) is 1027. Say that over the course of all human existence, the likelihood of any one human offspring to survive childhood and live to reproductive age and have at least one kid is 50:50 1 in 2. Even with the lowest statistic of 1 in 400 trillion, you would have a better chance of winning over $100 million dollar lottery 9 times over your life again than you would have being born. To further awaken to the miracle that is you, get The Tao of Dating: The Smart Woman's Guide to Being Absolutely Irresistible, now available in book, ebook, Kindle, audiobook, and Sinai indestructible stone tablet. Author and blogger Dr. Ali Binazir did the calculations last spring and decided that the chances of anyone existing are one in 10 2,685,000. Not only has He always known us; he has known everything each of us would do, for every one of our days has been written in His book before one of them ever came to be. And the chances of that turning into a long-term relationship is also one in 10. So let's say the probability of your parents meeting, ever, is 10,000 divided by 200 million, or one in 20,000. So I got curious: Are either of these estimates correct? I would certainly add in (sadly) that there is the possibility of abortion or miscarriage, but even a simple analysis yields an astonishingly small probability. Opportunity - livebendy.com Probability of every one of your ancestors reproducing successfully: one in 10. So what's the probability of your being born? It makes me want to practice love, forgiveness, gratitude, acceptance, service/charity, kindness, being humble while inherently owning my miraculous self. The number of atoms in the known universe is estimated at 1080. Because the existence of you here now on planet earth presupposes another supremely unlikely and utterly undeniable chain of events. This post was published on the now-closed HuffPost Contributor platform. Because the fact that your baby to be is a miracle is not just a religious ideaits science. Step 2. Probability of boy meeting girl: one in 20,000. 2023 BuzzFeed, Inc. All rights reserved. Mirabile visu (Wondrous to behold)! As a comparison, the approximate number of atoms in the known universe is 10. This basically ZERO CHANCE of BEING BORN shows me that WE ALL DESERVE having an EQUAL PLACE on Earth! They each roll the dice and they all come up the exact same number say, 550,343,279,001.. I am only publishing a small number of his musings, but you can read his full article here: What Are the Chances of You Being Born?. The odds of becoming a millionaire in America are between 6.4% to 22.3% according to data from the Federal Reserve Boards Survey of Consumer Finances. These links dont impose any extra cost on you, and they help support the free content I provide here. Scott and Janice Huse, in their 1997 book The Collapse of Evolution, state that It is very significant to note that mathematicians generally consider that any event with a probability of one chance [in] 10^50 as having a zero probability (i.e. So the probability of that one sperm with half your name on it hitting that one egg with the other half of your name on it is one in 400 quadrillion. So to the second question: how accurate is this number? Gamblers always play the odds; their lives revolve around probabilities, and that has led many into dark places. To further awaken to the miracle that is you, get The Tao of Dating: The Smart Woman's Guide to Being Absolutely Irresistible, now available in book, ebook, Kindle, audiobook, and Sinai indestructible stone tablet. I was alerted to a fascinating article by Ali Binazir, who sets forth mathematically the probably that each of us exists. According to author Mel Robbins, scientists have estimated that our odds of being born are about 1 in 400 trillion. Are You a Miracle? On the Probability of Your Being Born Essentially, what Borel said was that any event with a honking big (a technical term used by mathematicians) level of improbability would never happen. His reasoning being that each person experiences an event of some sort every second. Lets confine the pool of possible people they could meet to 1/10 of the worlds population twenty years go (one tenth of 4 billion = 400 million) so it considers not just the population of the US but that of the places they could have visited. What it took to get us all here, in this time, together, seems too precious to let pass us by without open hearts. And lets say the fly decides to bring the ENTIRE MOON back to the Earth, one grain of sand at a time. First, lets talk about the probability of your parents meeting. If you shouldnt even be here, then what is the point of worrying? He calculated that an average human could expect to experience such an occurrence once every 35 days. I gotta say, the two numbers are pretty darn close, for such a far-fetched notion from two completely different sources: old-time Buddhist scholars and present-day scientists., *Illustration of human profile and numbers via Shutterstock, You're one in 400 trillion, or pretty much a miracle. The probability that you came about and exist today is the same as that turtle sticking its head out of the water into the middle of that life preserver. Borels Law says such a number means something is impossible, and yet, its not. He assumes each person is alert and awake for eight hours a day (this allows for downtime watching reality TV shows when the human brain is entirely inactive). How fast does a laden fly fly? They look like this , or this, and have to be avoided at all costs. *wink wink* Well, hello thereBom chicka wow wowits: The chance of every one of your ancestors outrunning dinosaurs, disease, war and pestilence to live to reproductive age and reproduce successfully is one in 10. We might not all like the cards we were dealt in life, but it is our choice to play what weve been given or to go on blaming our lot which is wanting more power, but giving up any power we already have. When you do the math, which I didnt but Dr. Binazir did: That means in every step of your lineage, the probability of the right sperm meeting the right egg such that the exact right ancestor would be created that would end up creating you is one in 400 quadrillion.. Probability of right sperm meeting right egg: one in 400 quadrillion. One night, perhaps, the same dream, grown hazy by morning. This book will rapidly bring you up to speed on epidemiology and pandemic management. "That's a pretty big number," I thought to myself. A lovely day to you. Now let's say the chances of them actually talking to one another is one in 10. If this writer can grasp the concept then any one of those infinite monkeys can. It makes me want to love better, to hug my baby more, to appreciate the miracles in my life, my family, my friends, my teachers, The animals, plants, precious food, the bugs and butterflies. So the probability of that one sperm with half your name on it hitting that one egg with the other half of your name on it is one in 400 quadrillion. Say humans or humanoids have been around for about 3 million years, and that a generation is about 20 years. By that definition, I've just proven that you are a miracle. Popes point: that we are not accidents, that God chose to create you and [me]. No need for caution about drawing any conclusion other that the one he quite explicitly drew. He used a thought experiment to illustrate this that became known popularly as the infinite monkey theorem; this states that if an infinite number of monkeys pound the keys of an infinite number of typewriters they will eventually write the complete works of Shakespeare. Dr. Ali Binazir - Author - San Francisco, CA | YourTango Experts Let's say a third of those (4 trillion) are relevant to our calculation, since the sperm created after your mom hits menopause don't count. Dr. Ali Binazir - Something To Prove Or are we some mysterious combination of impossible and inevitable? Well surely reply you within 48 hours. "It is a part of probability that many improbable things will happen.. So to the second question: how accurate is this number? You are a representative of an unbroken lineage of life going back 4 billion years. Something was dropped and then picked up. On my birthday, I had a strangely pertinent thought: what's the probability of being born? Borels Law is about the probability of events occurring. dr ali binazir odds of being born - manoharinternational.com A miracle is an event so unlikely as to be almost impossible. The atheist and agnostics give the existence of God about the same odds. Contributors control their own work and posted freely to our site. Now take whats left and live it properly. Marcus Aurelius. dr ali binazir odds of being born. Dr Ali Binazir is the author of the 'The Tao of Dating: The Smart Woman's Guide to Being Absolutely Irresistible', the highest-rated dating book on Amazon.co. And the chances of that turning into a long-term relationship is also one in 10. Our babys name creator can help you find a baby at 12 weeks old and unique name for your child. And I note that it is an unladen fly that moves at about 4 mph. "That's a pretty big number," I thought to myself. Author and blogger Dr. Ali Binazir did the calculations last spring and decided that the chances of anyone existing are one in 102,685,000. Because the existence of you here now on planet earth presupposes another supremely unlikely and utterly undeniable chain of events. Or could they be underestimates of the true number? Thats going to take a LONG time. That is, instead of making one big hand-waving gesture and pronouncing, The answer is five hundred bazillion squintillion, we make a series of sequentially-reasoned, smaller hand-waving gestures so as to make it all seem scientific. Borel's Law of Probability - Owlcation So, the combined probability is already only about 1 in 40 million. Copyright 2000 - 2023 The Epoch Times Association Inc. All Rights Reserved. Its like winning a free ticket to the the best party in the world. So the probability of your parents' chance meeting resulting in kids is about one in 2000.
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